Readings record · Updated 2026-10-24
All published readings, including the ones that fell.
A reading is a written market analysis from Meridian Engine. Before the outcome, it says which price levels matter and which close would cancel it. Every published reading is listed here, newest first: none has been removed. You can check each outcome yourself: every card names the public price series it was checked on, and every closed reading replays the real hourly bars.
- Readings published
- 10
- Period
- 2026-08-09 – 2026-10-14
- Recorded before the outcome
- 8
- Public record
- from 2026-10-10
Calibration archive: analyses published before the out-of-sample record, which starts on 10/10/2026.
Directions stated per quarter, across all published analyses (calibration archive included): Q3 2026: 2 analyses, 0 bullish, 2 bearish, 0 with no direction · Q4 2026 (in progress as of 2026-10-24): 8 analyses, 1 bullish, 5 bearish, 2 with no direction. Count updated at every publication; percentages appear from ten analyses per quarter.
invalidation condition price at issue hours before issue
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Invalidated
EURUSD (euro-dollar) swing analysis, issued on 14 October 2026: conditional bearish
Conditional bearish: the 1.11836 entry triggers only if price rises back to the equal-low cluster broken by the 12/10 H4 BOS. Stop 1.12215, targets down to 1.10950, two invalidation conditions on H4 and D1 closes.
- Outcome
- Triggered on 15/10/2026 at 00:00 UTC, stop at 03:00 UTC: closed at −1.03R net
- Checked on
- EURUSD=X and 6E=F, hourly bars
- Record
- Recorded before the outcome
-
Neither
ETHUSD (ether) intraday analysis, issued on 14 October 2026: conditional bearish
Conditional bearish: the 2,478.89 entry triggers only if price rises back to the shelf broken by the 14/10 bearish BOS. Stop 2,528.00, targets down to 2,404.32, two invalidation conditions on H1 closes. Between issue and publication price fell below the targets without triggering.
- Outcome
- Not triggered within the horizon: no trade
- Checked on
- ETHUSDT and ETH-USD, hourly bars
- Record
- Recorded before the outcome
-
Invalidated
US500 (S&P 500 index) swing analysis, issued on 11 October 2026: conditional bullish
Conditional bullish: the 7,777 entry triggers only if price pulls back into the reclaimed H1 demand cluster. Stop 7,741, targets up to 7,844.1, invalidation on an H4 close below 7,750.4 or a D1 close below 7,608.8.
- Outcome
- Triggered on 14/10/2026 at 14:00 UTC, stop at 16:00 UTC: closed at −1.01R net
- Checked on
- ES=F, hourly bars
- Record
- Recorded before the outcome
-
No trade · left the band
XAUUSD (gold) intraday analysis, issued on 11 October 2026: no trade
No trade: the engine stands aside and states the 4,168.24 – 4,207.33 band, with the two hourly closes that would break it. Issued with the market closed, valid from the 11/10 reopening until 22:00 UTC on 12/10/2026.
- Outcome
- No trade · No position, issued without a direction
- Checked on
- GC=F, hourly bars
- Record
- Recorded before the outcome
-
Level reached
XAGUSD (silver) intraday analysis, issued on 7 October 2026: conditional bearish
Conditional bearish: the 60.256 entry triggers only if price retraces to the low shelf broken on 07/10. Stop 60.900, targets down to 59.664, two invalidation conditions on H1 closes.
- Outcome
- T1 and T2 reached on 08/10/2026 at 04:00 and 06:00 UTC; closed on the last target, +0.87R net
- Checked on
- SI=F, hourly bars
- Record
- Recorded before the outcome
-
Level reached
XAUUSD (gold) swing analysis, recorded on 3 October 2026: conditional bearish
Conditional bearish: the 4,187.44 entry triggers only if price retraces to the H1 equal-high cluster. Stop 4,231.00, targets down to 4,018.84, two invalidation conditions on H4 closes.
- Outcome
- T1 and T2 reached on 07/10/2026 at 06:00 and 13:00 UTC; closed on 08/10/2026 at 04:00 UTC by the second invalidation condition, +1.11R net
- Checked on
- GC=F, hourly bars
- Record
- Recorded before the outcome
-
Level reached
EURUSD (euro-dollar) swing analysis, recorded on 3 October 2026: bearish
Bearish at market from the 02/10 close at 1.12522. Stop 1.13180, targets 1.12147 and 1.11450, invalidation on an H4 close above 1.13114 or a D1 close above 1.13801.
- Outcome
- T1 reached on 05/10/2026 at 03:00 UTC, T2 on 14/10/2026 at 13:00 UTC; closed on the last target, +1.62R net
- Checked on
- EURUSD=X, 6E=F, hourly bars
- Record
- Recorded before the outcome
-
No trade · left the band
No trade: the band stated at 00:25 UTC broke to the upside on the 18:00 UTC close
The engine found no edge either up or down and stood aside, stating the 83,304.1–84,443.6 band and the two hourly closes that would break it. The band held on a closing basis for more than seventeen hours; at 18:00 UTC an hourly bar closed at 84,819.7, above the top.
- Outcome
- Band broken to the upside at 18:00 UTC
- Checked on
- BTCUSDT, hourly bars
- Record
- Recorded before the outcome
-
Level reached
Neither invalidation condition was met by 21:30 UTC
The reading stated in advance two conditions that would invalidate it: an hourly close above 4,318.9, or a sweep of the 4,273.8 shelf followed by a close back above 4,304.9. Neither was met by 21:30 UTC.
- Outcome
- Neither invalidation condition met by 21:30 UTC
- Checked on
- GC=F, hourly bars
- Record
- Chosen with the outcome known
-
Invalidated
The reading was invalidated at 02:00 UTC by a condition stated at 00:09 UTC
By 02:00 UTC the price had traded below 64,794.3, the prior day’s low: one of the three conditions stated at 00:09 UTC.
- Outcome
- Invalidation condition met at 02:00 UTC
- Checked on
- BTCUSDT, hourly bars
- Record
- Chosen with the outcome known
No reading matches these filters.