EURUSD: euro vs US dollar analyses, with their outcomes
Here are the Meridian Engine analyses on the euro against the US dollar, newest first, each with its conditions written before the move. Today there are two: the swing analysis issued on 14 October 2026, conditional bearish, open until 11 November; and the swing analysis recorded on 3 October 2026, closed on 14 October on the last target at +1.62R net.
Updated 2026-10-21
This page is an archive: it collects readings that are already closed and their outcomes, which can be checked against public data. It does not say what to do in any market and does not anticipate future readings.
The readings
Triggered on 15/10/2026 at 00:00 UTC, stop at 03:00 UTC: closed at −1.03R net
Conditional bearish: the 1.11836 entry triggers only if price rises back to the equal-low cluster broken by the 12/10 H4 BOS. Stop 1.12215, targets down to 1.10950, two invalidation conditions on H4 and D1 closes.
Checked on: EURUSD=X and 6E=F, hourly bars
T1 reached on 05/10/2026 at 03:00 UTC, T2 on 14/10/2026 at 13:00 UTC; closed on the last target, +1.62R net
Bearish at market from the 02/10 close at 1.12522. Stop 1.13180, targets 1.12147 and 1.11450, invalidation on an H4 close above 1.13114 or a D1 close above 1.13801.
Checked on: EURUSD=X, 6E=F, hourly bars
The instrument
EURUSD is the price of one euro in US dollars, the most traded pair in forex. It trades from Sunday 22:00 UTC to Friday 22:00 UTC; the hours of each centre and the London–New York overlap are on the market hours page.
How a reading is checked
The outcome of every EURUSD analysis is checked on a public exchange-rate series, separate from the engine’s feed. There are two series: the Yahoo Finance EURUSD=X rate and CME euro futures (6E=F). Both quote on their own scale; figures are brought onto the analysis scale, with the reference bar stated in the record. If the two series disagree, the outcome stays “to be checked” and is read by hand.
The full method is on the methodology page.
Terms used in the readings
Band · Liquidity pool · Sweep · Displacement · Drift · Shelf · ATR (average true range)
Every Meridian Engine analysis records direction, entry, stop, targets and invalidation before the move; the outcome is checked afterwards on the public price series named on each card, losses included. Waitlist members receive one or two analyses a week by email, free while on the waitlist.
Get the code for your first analysis →Four minutes on how you read the market: the questionnaire decides what we build first. Two minutes: why Meridian Engine is of interest and what you would change.
General analysis, identical for everyone: position size, risk and decisions remain with the reader. Not investment advice.