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XAUUSD: gold readings, with their outcomes

Here are the Meridian Engine readings on gold against the US dollar, newest first, each with its conditions written in advance and its outcome checked on COMEX gold futures. Today there are three: the intraday analysis issued on 11 October 2026 with the market closed, no trade, issued without a direction; the swing analysis recorded on 3 October 2026, closed on 8 October at +1.11R net; and the reading of 24 September 2026.

Updated 2026-10-21

This page is an archive: it collects readings that are already closed and their outcomes, which can be checked against public data. It does not say what to do in any market and does not anticipate future readings.

The readings

XAUUSD · 2026-10-11 · 20:40 UTC

No trade · No position, issued without a direction

No trade: the engine stands aside and states the 4,168.24 – 4,207.33 band, with the two hourly closes that would break it. Issued with the market closed, valid from the 11/10 reopening until 22:00 UTC on 12/10/2026.

Checked on: GC=F, hourly bars

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XAUUSD · 2026-10-03 · 23:31 UTC

T1 and T2 reached on 07/10/2026 at 06:00 and 13:00 UTC; closed on 08/10/2026 at 04:00 UTC by the second invalidation condition, +1.11R net

Conditional bearish: the 4,187.44 entry triggers only if price retraces to the H1 equal-high cluster. Stop 4,231.00, targets down to 4,018.84, two invalidation conditions on H4 closes.

Checked on: GC=F, hourly bars

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XAUUSD · 2026-09-24 · 00:28 UTC

Neither invalidation condition was met by 21:30 UTC

The reading stated in advance two conditions that would invalidate it: an hourly close above 4,318.9, or a sweep of the 4,273.8 shelf followed by a close back above 4,304.9. Neither was met by 21:30 UTC.

Checked on: GC=F, hourly bars

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All readings, on every instrument

The instrument

XAUUSD is the price of one troy ounce of gold in US dollars. Like forex, it trades from Sunday 22:00 UTC to Friday 22:00 UTC; the hours of each centre and the London–New York overlap are on the market hours page.

How a reading is checked

Every gold reading is checked on COMEX gold futures (GC=F), a public series separate from the engine’s feed. They quote on their own scale; figures are brought onto the reading's scale, with the reference bar stated on the page.

The full method is on the methodology page.

Terms used in the readings

Band · Liquidity pool · Sweep · Displacement · Drift · Shelf · ATR (average true range)

Every Meridian Engine analysis records direction, entry, stop, targets and invalidation before the move; the outcome is checked afterwards on the public price series named on each card, losses included. Waitlist members receive one or two analyses a week by email, free while on the waitlist.

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